08-19-2023 Source: https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/hurricane-preps-in-full-swing-california-and-nevada-hillary
Hurricane Hillary is sending southern California, Arizona, and southern Nevada in MAJOR Hurricane and Flooding Preps Saturday, as the massive storm approaches landfall. We begin with this Advisory from the National Hurricane Center:
936 WTPZ34 KNHC 191154 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Hurricane Hilary Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092023 600 AM MDT Sat Aug 19 2023 ...CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING LIKELY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. THROUGH MONDAY... ...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.5N 113.4W ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM SSE OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula from Punta Abreojos to Cabo San Quintin A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula north of Cabo San Quintin to Ensenada A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula from Punta Abreojos southward * Baja California peninsula entire east coast * Baja California peninsula north of Cabo San Quintin to the California/Mexico border * Mainland Mexico north of Guaymas * California/Mexico border to Point Mugu * Catalina Island A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Mainland Mexico from Huatabampito to Guaymas A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the southwestern U.S. should monitor the progress of Hilary. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Hilary was located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 113.4 West. Hilary is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A faster motion toward the north-northwest is expected to begin later today, followed by an even faster motion toward the north by Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of Hilary will move close to the west-central coast of the Baja California peninsula tonight and on Sunday and move across southern California Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Hilary is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening is expected to begin today, but Hilary will still be a hurricane when it approaches the west coast of the Baja California peninsula tonight and Sunday morning. Hilary is expected to weaken to a tropical storm by midday Sunday before it reaches southern California. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 265 miles (425 km). A sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) and a gust to 62 mph (100 km/h) were recently reported at the Cabo San Lucas Marina. The minimum central pressure is estimated to be 943 mb (27.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hilary can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP4.shtml. RAINFALL: Hilary is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts up to 10 inches, across portions of the Baja California Peninsula through Sunday night. Flash and urban flooding, locally catastrophic, will be likely, especially in the northern portions of the peninsula. Heavy rainfall in association with Hilary is expected across the Southwestern United States, peaking on Sunday, and possibly lasting through Monday. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of 10 inches, are expected across portions of southern California and southern Nevada. Dangerous to locally catastrophic flooding will be likely. Elsewhere across portions of the Western United States, rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected, resulting in localized flash flooding. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area tonight and early Sunday and are possible within the hurricane watch on Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are occurring within the southern portion of the tropical storm warning area and will spread northward today and Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area today and tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in southern California on Sunday. Winds could be particularly strong and gusty in and near areas of higher terrain. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely to produce coastal flooding along the western Baja California peninsula of Mexico near where the center passes the coast in areas of onshore winds, or east of the center if Hilary makes landfall. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. TORNADOES: A tornado or two may occur Sunday over parts of the lower Colorado River Valley, Mojave Desert and Imperial Valley regions. SURF: Large swells generated by Hilary will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico, the Baja California peninsula, and southern California over the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Hurricane Hunter aircraft have been up & Hurricane Hilary is still a Cat 4. Winds still 130 MPH
In Los Angeles, the National Weather Service is already warning the public of severe Flash Flooding to come:
The National Weather Service Prediction Center is also issuing warnings:
In Arizona and Nevada, authorities are warning citizens of “100 year flooding” expected to take place.
08-18-2023
The National Hurricane Center says Pacific Ocean Hurricane “Hillary” is headed for southern California; expected to come ashore near San Diego and move rapidly toward Los Angeles. The storm is now a “major” Category 3, with 120+ MPH winds and over 600 miles wide. A storm of this size has not hit California in 84 Years. No one alive there knows what a Hurricane is like: Deadly.
Computer Models show the potential track of the storm:
Since no one alive in California has __ever__ lived through something like this, let me try to describe it.
When you were a child, many of you at some point stuck your hand out the car window while your Dad was driving and felt the wind as he drove 60 MPH down the highway. Try to imagine the wind being DOUBLE . . . and not stopping. Not even pausing.
Hurricanes come ashore with what’s called “Maximum SUSTAINED Winds.” The winds don’t stop. There’s no break in them. They come in at 120 MPH and they just keep blowing at that speed for a couple HOURS.
Roofs come off houses, apartment buildings, warehouses and factories. And when the roofs come off, the walls all collapse.
Trees get ripped right out of the ground and hurled like several ton toothpicks, smashing and wrecking everything they hit.
Cars, truck, buses, get flipped over.
Electric power lines get ripped off poles. Transformers explode.
Then, there’s the rain. Not like regular rain or even a thunderstorm. This rain is TORRENTIAL. Rainfall amounts in San Diego, Los Angeles and inland are already being forecast at TEN INCHES in less than a day. The flooding happens so fast,. and over such an area, it is incomprehensible.
Worst of all is the “storm surge” that comes in just before and along with the landfall of the “eye” of the hurricane.
Along the shoreline, the circulating pattern of the winds literally PUSHES ocean water. As the storm approaches the coastline, its winds are pushing so much water the water piles-up on itself as it comes ashore. People along the shoreline will see the water suddenly begin to rise, and rise and rise, then break the coastline and come inland.
The water rises within SECONDS. Vehicles driving along Pacific Coast Highway or some similar coastal road will see mere wet roads one minutes, then find themselves completely inundated a minute later with surging sea water, that gets three, four-five FEET deep within about 90 seconds. Vehicles are carried away by the angry surging water.
Buildings along the shoreline are hit with this surge and they knocked right off their foundations and collapse.
Those structures which do no immediately collapse are hit with more and more sea water. And atop that flooding, are the normal, typical ocean waves that repeatedly slam into the structures, weakening them with every wave.
At some point, the walls simply cannot remain standing and they collapse. The ocean water rushes inside, causing the other walls to collapse. People inside are carried away by the water, screaming in terror as they drown, in ocean water that does not care one wit it is killing them.
THAT is a Hurricane. THAT is what San Diego, Los Angeles and other areas are likely to be hit with, starting ONE DAY FROM NOW.
If local authorities tell you to evacuate – do it. Don’t think “Oh, it’s just a lot of wind and rain.” It’s not that simple – at all.
If you get caught in the storm as it makes landfall, you will be lucky to survive.
Those of you who are told to evacuate but refuse, take a permanent magic marker and write your social security number on your forearm so authorities can identify your dead body when they find it.
Those of you not in the path of the “eye” can expect long-term, widespread, electric power outages for, perhaps, WEEKS.
Be prepared with emergency food, water, medicines you need to live on. Have an electric generator and some fuel to run it. But DO NOT run a generator inside your home, carbon monoxide gas from the motor will KILL You. DO NOT store gasoline or other fuel inside your house, it can explode.
Have a way to cook when utilities are out. A barbeque grill or propane grill.
Have flashlights for each member of your household, with spare batteries for each.
Have a portable radio with spare batteries for local news and info.
Gas-up your car(s) and be ready to haul-ass if you are told to evacuate.
DON’T WAIT to make these preparations because all the other people around you, will be forced to do these things too, and store shelves will be emptied of food. Gas stations will RUN OUT of fuel.
Prepare TODAY. Not tomorrow. TODAY. Those who wait, will find themselves able to get . . . NOTHING.
YOU HAVE ONLY ONE DAY TO PREPARE.
UPDATE 10:27 AM EDT —
Hurricane Hillary has increased in strength and is now, officially, a “Category 4” major hurricane, with sustained winds of 145 mph
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